Over the past month, both Wolfsburg and Mainz 05 have hit impressive form, inching closer to the European qualification spots. However, bookmakers are sceptical about Wolfsburg' chances of victory on Sunday due to injury concerns, yet the team has managed well against strong contenders.
Wolfsburg’s cup victory over Hoffenheim (3:0) marked their seventh consecutive unbeaten match. In the previous round, they dismantled RB Leipzig (5:1), leading by three goals by the 16th minute and finishing the game with 2.30 xG from eight shots on target. Wolfsburg boast one of the best shot efficiencies in the Bundesliga, scoring 25 goals from an expected 18.25. It seems they have mastered achieving the desired result with Mohamed Amoura and Tiago Tomás in attack.
Mainz, who were recently battling against relegation, stand one spot above their nearest opponent but their performances sometimes raise questions. Against Hoffenheim (2:0), they decided to preserve Jonathan Burkardt's early brace, taking fewer shots after the break than struggling Hoffenheim (8-9). Notably, Mainz have secured 11 points from 5 away matches — a decent record, although they have faced only one top-8 opponent on their travels.
Wolfsburg are more diverse and skilled. We select them as the favourites, but to be cautious, we'll back them with a 0 handicap.
